English Arabic Armenian Azerbaijani Chinese (Simplified) Chinese (Traditional) Czech Danish Dutch Estonian Filipino Finnish French Galician Georgian German Greek Hindi Hungarian Icelandic Indonesian Italian Japanese Korean Latvian Lithuanian Malay Maltese Norwegian Persian Polish Portuguese Russian Slovak Slovenian Spanish Swedish Thai Turkish Ukrainian Vietnamese

U.S. can expect a "bumpy ride" in 2014

WASHINGTON D.C.: U.S. GDP growth has not yet translated into an increase in freight volume according to the January 2014 CASS freight index.

Report author Rosalyn Wilson says there are additional signs of a sluggish turnaround: The Institute for Supply Management's purchasing index (PMI) fell for a second month from 56.5 in December to 51.3 in January; there was a 13.2 point drop in the new orders index, the largest drop in new orders in 33 years; and China's PMI also declined and now sits at 50.5, just 0.5 points 
above the 50 point mark indicating growth or contraction.

Wilson adds that new U.S. export orders fell from 49.8 to 49.3 during the month while imports have also slowed – not good news for a freight industry already hit by bad weather during January.

AmericanAirlines737800newlivery-copyInternational trade data released this week by the U.S. Department of Commerce show that exports reached $2.3 trillion in 2013, up nearly $700 billion since 2009. The U.S. trade deficit improved $63.1 billion from the past year to $471.5 billion, the lowest since 2009. Merchandise exports to the 20 economies that have trade agreements with the United States reached a record $732.0 billion.

While Wilson acknowledges that many observers think the U.S. economy will gain momentum in 2014, she's not so optimistic: "There are still some strong headwinds to overcome in the freight sector, the most obvious of which being the nearly imperceptible growth in volumes."

Despite Commerce Department statistics, she says the global marketplace remains weak and U.S. exports are lagging expectations. While unemployment level continue to fall to an official 6.7 percent – the lowest since October 2008 - she thinks the level of new jobs created each month is not enough to sustain the economy.

"As the Federal Reserve reduces its bond purchases, interest rates will continue to rise. This will have repercussions in the freight sector. The inventory levels that are now higher than those during 2009, when carrying costs were minimal, will become more burdensome and will probably lead to a drawdown similar to what we saw during the recession."

Wilson says obtaining credit to purchase new vehicles will become more difficult this year, "probably squeezing out smaller and marginal trucking companies that don't have the capital to expand their fleet or ‐ almost as important ‐ modernize their fleets. Continue to expect a bumpy ride."

 

News

Written on 26/05/2017, 16:16
powerful-future-ahead-for-madagascarPORT LOUIS, Mauritius. May 24, 2017. Volga-Dnepr Airlines has now completed a series of flights begun in March to deliver power generators from Mauritius...
Written on 25/05/2017, 20:07
rhinos-return-to-rwandaAKAGERA, Rwanda: May 25, 2017. Ten years after the Eastern black rhino disappeared from Rwanda following decades of poaching, 19 animals have now taken up...
Written on 25/05/2017, 18:33
port-everglades-gets-expansion-go-aheadPORT EVERGLADES, FL: May 24, 2017. Port Everglades is to invest US$437.5 million to add new berths for larger cargo vessels and install crane rail...
Written on 24/05/2017, 20:42
hapag-lloyd-takes-a-big-step-with-uascHAMBURG: May 24, 2017. Hapag-Lloyd and the United Arab Shipping Company (UASC) have completed their merger. Shareholders at the annual general meeting on...
Written on 23/05/2017, 21:03
dhl-adds-rail-link-between-shenzhen-and-belarusSHENZHEN: May 22, 2017. DHL Global Forwarding has launched the first regular LCL and FCL rail service that connects Shenzhen to Minsk in Belarus in less...
Written on 22/05/2017, 19:48
cathay-pacific-launches-restructuring-with-layoffsHONG KONG: May 22, 2017. Cathay Pacific is making 600 head office staff redundant following the announcement in March of a three-year business...
Written on 18/05/2017, 21:59
air-zimbabwe-banned-from-europeBRUSSELS: May 17, 2017. In an update to its Air Safety List, the European Commission has banned Air Zimbabwe from flying to the 28 EU Member States "due...
Written on 17/05/2017, 22:43
russian-logistics-network-signs-development-agreementMUNICH: May 17, 2017. Meeting at the transport logistic trade fair last week, members of Russia's Associated Cargo Experts Alliance (ACEX) and the...
Written on 17/05/2017, 19:41
oman-to-adopt-tir-conventionMUSCAT: May 17, 2017. The International Road Transport Union (IRU) is to support the Oman Global Logistics Group (OGLG) in developing Oman as a major...
Written on 15/05/2017, 21:56
record-port-call-for-savannahSAVANNAH, GA: MAY 15, 2017. COSCO Development, at 13,000 TEU the largest box ship to call at an U.S. East Coast port, moved a record 10,000 containers...
Written on 11/05/2017, 14:24
lufthansa-cargo-still-caring-for-humansMUNICH: May 10, 2017. Lufthansa Cargo has celebrated the 10th anniversary of its employee-inspired humanitarian logistics program Cargo Human Care (CHC)...
Written on 10/05/2017, 20:34
renewed-b-logistics-rebrands-as-lineasMUNICH: May 10, 2017. Less than two weeks after it re-launched itself as Lineas, rail logistics company B Logistics has come to transport logistic in...
Written on 09/05/2017, 21:52
cranes-get-a-lift-from-hansaHAMBURG: May 09, 2017 – Hansa Heavy Lift (HHL) has moved two 870 tonnes cranes from a decommissioned power station at London's port of Tilbury to...
Written on 09/05/2017, 18:49
ups-to-handle-dubai-expo-logisticsDUBAI: May 09, 2017. UPS is to sponsor the logistics for World Expo 2020 Dubai, to be held between October 2020 and April 2021. The company has also...
Written on 09/05/2017, 16:51
cargolux-carrier-of-choice-emirates-skycargoMUNICH: May 09, 2017. Emirates SkyCargo and Cargolux are to share aircraft capacity, networks and respective hubs in Dubai and Luxembourg in a new...
Written on 05/05/2017, 20:30
new-multipurpose-service-links-u-s-and-mediterraneanLEER, Germany: May 03, 2017. Multipurpose vessel operator BBC Chartering is adding ocean capacity between the Mediterranean and the US- East Coast, with...
Written on 04/05/2017, 20:42
royal-schiphol-group-costs-klm-millions-claimAMSTERDAM: May 04, 2017. KLM reported Q1 2017 revenue of €2.2 billion - a 3.3 percent rise over the same period last year. EBITDA increased €14 million to...
Written on 04/05/2017, 19:06
bmw-to-increase-rail-link-to-chinaMUNICH: May 03. China's news agency Xinhua reports BMW plans to increase its use of 'Silk Road' rail networks to ship components from Europe. According...
Written on 03/05/2017, 20:21
ethiopian-provides-support-for-drought-reliefTOULOUSE: May 02, 2017. German NGO humedica e.V and UK non-profit Aviation without Borders have used an Ethiopian Airlines A350 XWB delivery flight to...
Written on 28/04/2017, 19:13
amazon-3rd-party-fulfillment-revenue-up-34-percentSEATTLE: April 28, 2017. Amazon has reported net income of US$724 million on sales of US$35.71 billion for the first quarter of 2017. Results for the...

- powered by Quickchilli.com -