English Arabic Armenian Azerbaijani Chinese (Simplified) Chinese (Traditional) Czech Danish Dutch Estonian Filipino Finnish French Galician Georgian German Greek Hindi Hungarian Icelandic Indonesian Italian Japanese Korean Latvian Lithuanian Malay Maltese Norwegian Persian Polish Portuguese Russian Slovak Slovenian Spanish Swedish Thai Turkish Ukrainian Vietnamese

Brexit to cost UK £32 billion by 2020

LONDON: August 10, 2016. A report from the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), says Britain's service sector accounted for 39 percent of the country's exports to the European Union in 2015. By comparison Brazil, Russia, India and China totaled less than 5.0 percent of the country's service exports last year.

The report explains that EU membership is completely different from EU access: "Single market access is virtually meaningless as a concept," said IFS associate and report lead author Ian Mitchell. "Any country in the World Trade Organisation (WTO) – from Afghanistan to Zimbabwe – has 'access' to the EU as an export destination.

"Single Market membership by contrast involves elimination of barriers to trade in a way that no existing trade deal, Customs union or free trade area achieves. In particular it means reducing 'non-tariff' barriers like licensing and other regulatory constraints to supplying goods or services. These sorts of barriers have become relatively more important to trade than tariffs (taxes on trade), and especially so for services," he explained.

Hinkley PointNoting that continued EU membership is likely to offer Britain significant economic benefits - particularly for trade in services – the IFS report argues that a Brexit will result in accepting the cost of future regulations designed in the EU without UK input.

"Those costs are salient and the benefits of membership are diffuse – but the financial benefits are real and, at the moment at least, likely to outweigh the financial costs," said Mitchell.

With the EU accounting for 44 percent of UK exports and 39 percent of service exports, the report points out that even small losses in trade with the EU would require "probably implausible" increases in trade with China or India to compensate.

According to reports, China has invested US$38 billion in Britain since 2005 and has said relations are at a "crucial historical juncture" following the UK government's decision to review China's investment in the long-delayed construction of an £18+ billion nuclear power station at Hinkley Point in the West of England. (Pictured: artist's impression)

The IFS concludes that Britain is faced with the choice of continued EU membership and contributing a net £8 billion to the EU Budget, or opting for a European Economic Area, Free Trade Association or WTO model.

The research institute suggests that giving up EU membership would result in a UK tax receipts shortfall of at least £32 billion by 2020. On August 05 the Bank of England forecast 250,000 job losses by 2018 as a result of Brexit.

"From an economic point of view we still face some very big choices indeed in terms of our future relationship with the EU. Choices in these domains will most likely be far more important than any deal on budget contributions," Mitchell concluded.

News

Written on 24/05/2017, 20:42
hapag-lloyd-takes-a-big-step-with-uascHAMBURG: May 24, 2017. Hapag-Lloyd and the United Arab Shipping Company (UASC) have completed their merger. Shareholders at the annual general meeting on...
Written on 23/05/2017, 21:03
dhl-adds-rail-link-between-shenzhen-and-belarusSHENZHEN: May 22, 2017. DHL Global Forwarding has launched the first regular LCL and FCL rail service that connects Shenzhen to Minsk in Belarus in less...
Written on 22/05/2017, 19:48
cathay-pacific-launches-restructuring-with-layoffsHONG KONG: May 22, 2017. Cathay Pacific is making 600 head office staff redundant following the announcement in March of a three-year business...
Written on 18/05/2017, 21:59
air-zimbabwe-banned-from-europeBRUSSELS: May 17, 2017. In an update to its Air Safety List, the European Commission has banned Air Zimbabwe from flying to the 28 EU Member States "due...
Written on 17/05/2017, 22:43
russian-logistics-network-signs-development-agreementMUNICH: May 17, 2017. Meeting at the transport logistic trade fair last week, members of Russia's Associated Cargo Experts Alliance (ACEX) and the...
Written on 17/05/2017, 19:41
oman-to-adopt-tir-conventionMUSCAT: May 17, 2017. The International Road Transport Union (IRU) is to support the Oman Global Logistics Group (OGLG) in developing Oman as a major...
Written on 15/05/2017, 21:56
record-port-call-for-savannahSAVANNAH, GA: MAY 15, 2017. COSCO Development, at 13,000 TEU the largest box ship to call at an U.S. East Coast port, moved a record 10,000 containers...
Written on 11/05/2017, 14:24
lufthansa-cargo-still-caring-for-humansMUNICH: May 10, 2017. Lufthansa Cargo has celebrated the 10th anniversary of its employee-inspired humanitarian logistics program Cargo Human Care (CHC)...
Written on 10/05/2017, 20:34
renewed-b-logistics-rebrands-as-lineasMUNICH: May 10, 2017. Less than two weeks after it re-launched itself as Lineas, rail logistics company B Logistics has come to transport logistic in...
Written on 09/05/2017, 21:52
cranes-get-a-lift-from-hansaHAMBURG: May 09, 2017 – Hansa Heavy Lift (HHL) has moved two 870 tonnes cranes from a decommissioned power station at London's port of Tilbury to...
Written on 09/05/2017, 18:49
ups-to-handle-dubai-expo-logisticsDUBAI: May 09, 2017. UPS is to sponsor the logistics for World Expo 2020 Dubai, to be held between October 2020 and April 2021. The company has also...
Written on 09/05/2017, 16:51
cargolux-carrier-of-choice-emirates-skycargoMUNICH: May 09, 2017. Emirates SkyCargo and Cargolux are to share aircraft capacity, networks and respective hubs in Dubai and Luxembourg in a new...
Written on 05/05/2017, 20:30
new-multipurpose-service-links-u-s-and-mediterraneanLEER, Germany: May 03, 2017. Multipurpose vessel operator BBC Chartering is adding ocean capacity between the Mediterranean and the US- East Coast, with...
Written on 04/05/2017, 20:42
royal-schiphol-group-costs-klm-millions-claimAMSTERDAM: May 04, 2017. KLM reported Q1 2017 revenue of €2.2 billion - a 3.3 percent rise over the same period last year. EBITDA increased €14 million to...
Written on 04/05/2017, 19:06
bmw-to-increase-rail-link-to-chinaMUNICH: May 03. China's news agency Xinhua reports BMW plans to increase its use of 'Silk Road' rail networks to ship components from Europe. According...
Written on 03/05/2017, 20:21
ethiopian-provides-support-for-drought-reliefTOULOUSE: May 02, 2017. German NGO humedica e.V and UK non-profit Aviation without Borders have used an Ethiopian Airlines A350 XWB delivery flight to...
Written on 28/04/2017, 19:13
amazon-3rd-party-fulfillment-revenue-up-34-percentSEATTLE: April 28, 2017. Amazon has reported net income of US$724 million on sales of US$35.71 billion for the first quarter of 2017. Results for the...
Written on 27/04/2017, 19:19
ai-to-feature-at-transport-logistic-in-munichMUNICH: April 27, 2017. A survey of German logistics executives says 70 percent of respondents are investigating the use of artificial intelligence...
Written on 27/04/2017, 17:28
hapag-lloyd-best-shipping-line-brandBERLIN: April 26, 2017. Readers of "Logistik Heute" magazine and a panel of experts from the German Logistics Association (BVL), have recognized...
Written on 27/04/2017, 15:54
british-brands-hit-by-brexitLONDON: April 27, 2017. Valuation and strategy consultant Brand Finance says British brands have lost 6.0 percent of their value since the Brexit vote...

- powered by Quickchilli.com -